[17] Macfarlane,A.and Harrison,S.2000.Technological evolution and involution:a preliminary comparison of Europe and Japan.In Ziman,J.(ed.)Technological Innovation as an Evolutionary Process.Cambridge University Press.
[18] Perrin,N.1988.Giving Up the Gun:Japans Reversion to the Sword.Grodine.
[19] Petty,W.1691.Political Arithmetick.
[20] The Wealth of Nations,quoted in Blanning,T.2007.The Pursuit of Glory.Penguin.
[21] Pomeranz,K.2000.The Great Divergence.Princeton University Press.
[22] Clark,G.2007.A Farewell to Alms.Princeton University Press.
[23] 指由其他国家进口的食品、木材、衣物、金属、原材料和制成品。——译者注
[24] Epstein,H.2008.The strange history of birth control.New York Review of Books,18 August 2008.
[25] Hardin,G.1968.The tragedy of the commons.Science 162:1243-8.
[26] 例外的是巴里·康芒纳(Barry Commoner),他在1972年斯德哥尔摩召开的联合国人口大会上提出,无须采用强制措施,人口过渡自然会解决人口增长问题。
[27] Ehrlich,P.,Ehrlich,A.and Holdren,J.F.1977.Eco-science.W.H.Freeman.
[28] Connelly,M.2008.Fatal Misconception:the Struggle to Control World Population.Harvard University Press.
[29] 测量出生率的标准方法是“总生育力”,即计算各个年龄段人口的平均家庭规模。这种做法并不完善,它混淆了生育率下降和家庭规模缩小,但它是目前最好的测量方法,因为暂时还没有其他更好的做法,本章我采用的就是它。
[30] Brand,S.2005.Environmental heresies.Technology Review,May 2005.
[31] Caldwell,J.2006.Demographic Transition Theory.Springer.
[32] 马多克斯的书名为《世界末日症候群》(The Doomsday Syndrome)(1973,McGraw-Hill),约翰·蒂尔尼(John Tierney)引用了埃尔利希和霍尔德伦的书评,可见:http://tierneylab.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/04/15/the-skeptical-prophet/.
[33] 用学术界的话来说,“(在这个领域里)人们提出了各种互相抵触的理论框架,继续进行着争论,没有一种理论得到了广泛的认同。”Hirschman,quoted in Bongaarts,J.and Watkins,S.C.1996.Social interactions and contemporary fertility transitions.Population and Development Review 22:639-82.
[34] 原书如此,疑为数据有误。——译者注
[35] 这里是指天主教反对人工节育,更反对堕胎。——译者注
[36] Sachs,J.2008.Common Wealth:Economics for a Crowded Planet.Allen Lane.
[37] Connelly,M.2008.Fatal Misconception:the Struggle to Control World Population.Harvard University Press.
[38] Sachs,J.2008.Common Wealth:Economics for a Crowded Planet.Allen Lane.
[39] Population Growth,Economic Freedom and the Rule of Law.PERC Policy Series no.24.
[40] Richerson,P.and Boyd,R.2005.Nor by Genes Alone.Chicago University Press.
[41] The invisible hand of population control.Reason,16 June 2009.http://www.reason.com/news/show/134136.html.
[42] Myrskyla,M.,Kohler,H.P.and Billari,F.C.2009.Advances in development reverse fertility declines.Nature,6 August 2009(doi:10.1038/nature 08230).