饭饭TXT > 学习管理 > 《一个专业投资者的至深感悟》作者:未知【完结】 > 一个专业投资者的至深感悟.txt

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作者:未知 当前章节:5792 字 更新时间:2026-6-28 12:29

   Let us resist the temptation to fall back on the same partisanship and pettiness and immaturity that has poisoned our politics for so long. Let us remember that it was a man from this state who first carried the banner of the Republican Party to the White House – a party founded on the values of self-reliance, individual liberty, and national unity. Those are values we all share, and while the Democratic Party has won a great victory tonight, we do so with a measure of humility and determination to heal the divides that have held back our progress. As Lincoln said to a nation far more divided than ours, “We are not enemies, but friends…though passion may have strained it must not break our bonds of affection.” And to those Americans whose supportI have yet to earn – I may not have won your vote, but I hear your voices,I need your help, and I will be your President too.

   And to all those watching tonight from beyond our shores, from parliaments and palaces to those who are huddled around radios in the forgotten corners of our world – our stories are singular, but our destiny is shared, and a new dawn of American leadership is at hand. To those who would tear this world down – we will defeat you. To those who seek peace and security – we support you. And to all those who have wondered if America’s beacon still burns as bright – tonight we proved once more that the true strength of our nation comes not from our the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals: democracy, liberty, opportunity, and unyielding hope.

   For that is the true genius of America – that America can change. Our union can be perfected. And what we have already achieved gives us hope for what we can and must achieve tomorrow.

   This election had many firsts and many stories that will be told for generations. But one that’s on my mind tonight is about a woman who cast her ballot in Atlanta. She’s a lot like the millions of others who stood in line to make their voice heard in this election except for one thing – Ann Nixon Cooper is 106 years old.

   She was born just a generation past slavery; a time when there were no cars on the road or planes in the sky; when someone like her couldn’t vote for two reasons – because she was a woman and because of the color of her skin.

   And tonight, I think about all that she’s seen throughout her century in America – the heartache and the hope; the struggle and the progress; the times we were told that we can’t, and the people who pressed on with that American creed: Yes we can.At a time when women’s voices were silenced and theirhopes dismissed, she lived to see them stand up and speak out and reach forthe ballot. Yes we can.

   When there was despair in the dust bowl and depression across the land, she saw a nation conquer fear itself with a New Deal, new jobs and a new sense of common purpose. Yes we can.

   When the bombs fell on our harbor and tyranny threatened the world, she was there to witness a generation rise to greatness and a democracy was saved. Yes we can.

   She was there for the buses in Montgomery, the hoses in Birmingham, a bridge in Selma, and a preacher from Atlanta who told a people that “We Shall Overcome.” Yes we can.

   A man touched down on the moon, a wall came down in Berlin, a world was connected by our own science and imagination. And this year, in this election, she touched her finger to a screen, and cast her vote, because after 106 years in America, through the best of times and the darkest of hours, she knows how America can change. Yes we can.

   America, we have come so far. We have seen so much. But there is so much more to do. So tonight, let us ask ourselves – if our children should live to see the next century; if my daughters should be so lucky to live as long as Ann Nixon Cooper, what change will they see? What progress will we have made?

   This is our chance to answer that call. This is our moment. This is our time– to put our people back to work and open doors of opportunity for our kids; to restore prosperity and promote the cause of peace; to reclaim the American Dream and reaffirm that fundamental truth – that out of many, we are one; that while we breathe, we hope, and where we are met with cynicism, and doubt, and those who tell us that we can’t, we will respond with that timeless creed that sums up the spirit of a people:

   Yes We Can. Thank you, God bless you, and may God Bless the United States of America.

   20081110日:回答新浪网友关于当前股市状况的提问

   提问一

   提问者:投资改变生活

   看过楼主不少文章,给我的最大感觉是楼主勤奋有余而天资不足,就拿这篇来说,对于老手,以前的熊市经历确实丰富了自己的体验也能为日后的操作带来极大的帮助,但一味的照搬历史却不可取,“太阳底下没有新鲜事”,但这并不代表历史会简单的一模一样的重复,楼主借历史来判断底部特征的思路可以作为参考但决不能全部生搬硬套,所有的顶部都会下跌,但下跌的过程和方式并不完全一样,这次的调整幅度只用一年的时间就这么多,怕是以前的历史中找不到的,同理,判断底部也不一定完全和以前一样,楼主显得迂腐了,假设这么多的条条框框没有必要,我敢打赌,这次的底部决不会满足楼主所列的所有的条件,符合一部分是必须也一定的。我最近也开了博客,文中观点也主张等,但我会时时关注(低迷时就是要关心,因为要买;高估时就是要卖,卖了就不看行情了,涨再多也不管了 ),楼主明显作反了,打个比方 ,现阶段持有某些好公司,5年之内你觉得胜算大还是亏本可能性大,看楼主从高点下来一直抄过反弹,而现在却不看了,实为可惜,现在就算不是底部也离底部不远了,就说这么多,以后潜水,码字累的慌。还发现个楼主的特点 ,说的过就说,说不过时就回答让市场给或是说自己就是自己不须别人怎样怎样,听不进不同意见确实不能做人上人的,呵呵,一家之言!

   ——————————————————————

   投资家1973的回复:

   如果我理解不差,这个问题实际上是在说:“时间换空间,空间换时间,既然一年的时间跌幅超过70%,下跌速度这么快,那么底部的构筑也就不需要那么长时间,有可能以大家都意想不到的“V”型底的形式出现”。做交易至今我可以毫不谦虚的说任何大级别的顶底都能看得出来,同理本轮熊市的底部和下轮牛市启动,也完全能够判断,踏空根本就是不可能之事,即使“V”型底真的出现我也会及时在博文中提示,这点请朋友们放心。

   对我来说太阳底下的确没有新鲜事。我有底气说这句话。任何顶底的构成模式历史上都曾经出现过。大致来说顶底构造只有两种:1、圆底,包括三重底(我不愿意说双底,大型底部没有双底)、头肩底、圆形底等一切复杂型底部;2、尖底,即所谓的“V”型底。头部也只有两种:1、圆顶,例如崩溃前夕的铜;2、尖顶。圆形顶底出现的概率超过90%,尖形顶底出现的概率低于10%。但不论那一种顶底出现,它不可能逃脱我的眼睛。趋势跟踪技术将一切牛市熊市一网打尽,这不是随便说的,这是千真万确的。

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