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1有7项数据可以找到介绍这两位得主的研究成果。(1)从网页〈Nobelprize.org〉内,查索经济学1993年得奖人。(2) Claudia Goldin (1995): “Cliometrics and the Nobel”, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(2):191-208。(3)刘瑞华(1994)〈新经济史革命:介绍R. Fogel 和D. North的学说〉,《新史学》,5(3):141-64。(4)吴惠林(1994)〈1993年诺贝尔经济学得主:傅戈和诺斯教授〉,《经济前瞻》,33:155-9。(5)刘瑞华(1994)〈经济史学家有资格获得诺贝尔奖吗?诺斯教授的学术贡献〉,《经济前瞻》,33:160-6。(6)叶淑贞(1994)〈开启台湾经济史研究的契机:从1993年诺贝尔经济学奖得主傅戈及诺斯谈起〉,《经济前瞻》,33:167-78(此文同时刊载于《经济论文丛刊》,1994年6月22(2):127-67)。(7) Scandinavian Journal of Economics 1994年6月96卷2期页155-99,有6篇文章介绍这两位得奖者的著作与贡献。
2 Milton Friedman对经济学的分析,有一项著名的说法:「假设」本身是否真实(符合实况或只是虚拟)并不重要,重要的是能根据这些假设,推论出有意义的内容。我举个天文史上的例子。当「地心说」(地球是宇宙的中心)逐渐被「日心说」取代后,天文观测者必须解说星球之间的绕行轨道与周期。他们很早就从观测上得知,这些轨道不是圆形,而是较接近椭圆。因为世人对圆形的数学关系,已有很好的知识,用圆形来解说既方便又「接近」事实。所以从哥白尼之后,对太阳系的运转模型都用圆形。为什么不用椭圆?因为椭圆有2个焦点,制作上不方便,形状上又怪异。正圆简单,但不够准确。这类的解说方式,称为「启发式」(heuristic)模型。我觉得这篇文章就是属于「假设并不正确」,但能「歪打正着」的启发式模型:能得出有用的结论,是能抓到大老鼠的好猫。
3 有读者告诉我原因:天寿院是侧室,笃姬是正室,正室的地位高于侧室,所以笃姬的地位高于天寿院。 和宫也是正室,此时比辈份,所以笃姬的地位高于和宫。
4 他在《新大陆游记节录》的第9节,以10页篇幅记载与托拉斯相关的具体事实,主要有3项。(1) 1899年元月以后所设立的大型公司(资本额1千万美金以上者)共有81家,分别说明其设立年度与资本额;(2)分12点说明托拉斯之利,以10点说其弊;(3)与托拉斯相关的政府调查报告,以及民间的相关著述。此节所记多为所见的事实,较少个人的观感与评论。
5 (1) Oliver Williamson (1987): Antitrust policy, The New Palgrave: a Dictionary of Economics, London: Macmillan, 第1册页95-8。(2) 韩毅(1994)〈论19世纪末20世纪初美国的托拉斯立法运动〉,《中国社会科学院研究生院学报》,5:55-61。(3) 张附孙(1994)〈美国的反托拉斯运动〉,《云南教育学院学报》4:43-9。
6陈瑞庚(1974《井田问题重探》)第2章第1节(十)提出:「…如果当时没有以井划地的制度,滕文公怎会想到提出这个问题呢?」这句话已经很接近问题的焦点,可惜他没有进一步分辨「井地」与「井田」。
7关于何以当时「正经界」的问题会突显出来,请参阅第3节「从井字的根源看井田说」。这里要强调的是:「经界乱」不是局部性的症候,战国初年已到处发作。然而在不同的地区或国家,会因人口分布或其它经济环境的不同,而表现出不同症状。各处应付(不能说是解决)「经界乱」的办法,往往因地制宜,没有一致的丹方。滕国因为地方小,田地的肥瘠差异不大,分配上的争议较少,情形比较单纯。请参阅第4节「综述」部份的「问题 (5)」。
8 吴洛(1975)《中国度量衡史》,台湾商务印书馆,页64。
9如果《国语?鲁语下》的「田一井出稯禾…」的「一井」有所传承,则孟子这个名词就不是自创的,但这不是本文的重点。
10若要用图(b)的划分法,而且又要让每家的耕地面积维持百亩,则必须将一井的标准单位扩大为大长方形,让其中的一边长为1又1/9里。可是那多出来的1/9里,就不容易测量准确了。若要将扩大后的一井还维持正方形,则每边的长度必需为1.054里;这在「正经界」时,会产生难以预期的困扰。
11按〈杜注〉,「原防」是堤防间的零碎地,「町」是动词,意为分割成小顷町。
12根据钱穆《先秦诸子系年》(1956年香港大学出版社增订版,页345-52)的考证,孟子在滕的时间大概是323 BC - 320 BC,计3年,然后游梁游齐。孟子在滕的事迹不少,除了〈滕文公上〉所载之外,尚有〈梁惠王下〉,以周大王故事回答文公所问应付大国之道,颇显得捉襟见肘。〈尽心下〉载:「孟子之滕,馆于上宫。」然则孟子初到滕国,并无久居之意,因受文公知遇而延长逗留时间。然而滕的国力毕竟太弱,孟子亦无法在此施展其「王道」理想。或许这就是他日后在国力雄厚的齐国不受齐宣王重用,而深感惋惜的理由。参见方清河(1978)〈孟子的井地说〉页21-2对孟子在各国游历的过程与年代的解说。
13见崔述《崔东壁遗书》第5册〈三代经界通考〉(台北:世界书局,1963 )。
14据《史记索引?越世家》引《古本竹书纪年》,越王朱勾曾经灭滕,时间在春秋与战国之间,细节无可考。唯越国在淮北的势力大起大落,孟子时滕国必已复封,可是经过这次兵灾,城郭封疆的残破也可想而知。
15由现在看得到的数据判断,中国古代的几何进展不如同时期的西方。中国求面积的方法,基本上是长与宽的相乘。对于不整齐图形面积的估算,惯常的做法是「截长补短」,这就涉及到人为的估计。如果分割为许多小方块之后再相加,计算者的判断更会影响结果。这些技术上的不准确性,会给经手官吏上下其手的机会,这应该不是孟子愿意看到的。
16陈良佐(1970)〈井、井渠、桔槔、辘轳及其对我国古代农业之贡献〉,对井在中国古代农业与生活的应用情况,有很好的解说。
17 这句话的主旨,和上面引述的《惜抱轩全集笔记卷七》,两者大略相同,但〈跋盐铁论〉的行文稍带保留。
18 昭帝之前的例子有:孝文四年张苍、后元二年申屠嘉、孝景二年陶青、中元三年刘舍、后元元年卫绾、武帝元狩二年李蔡、元鼎五年石庆。后人对此惯例亦有深刻的观察,例如郑樵在《通志?职官略》称:「凡为御史大夫而丞相次也,其心冀幸丞相物故,或乃阴私相毁害,欲代之。故史记谓郑弘为大夫,守之数年不得;匡衡居之未满岁而丞相死,即代之。」在这种政治背景下,丞相史多少也要对御史大夫礼让三分。
19《汉书?昭帝本纪》元凤二年有如淳的注曰:「《百官表》太常主诸陵,别治其县,爵秩如三辅郡矣。」因此,如果是「三辅太常」连言,则太常管辖县的功能,应与三辅类似。
20 此外,在〈25孝养〉的倒数第二段内,丞相史说:「上孝养色,…」,这段话应该是丞相史而非丞相所讲的话,原文漏一「史」字,张之象、张敦仁、王利器都同意这项校改。这一点其实相当明显,因为接下来是文学所说的:「今子不忠不信,巧言以乱政…」,正是针对丞相史所说的「上孝养色,…」而发。这样的转折,也才能接得上下一篇(〈26刺议〉)的首段,内容是丞相史气急败坏地替自己辩护:「…使文学言之而是,仆之言有何害?…」
21 〈28国疾〉:「…鄙人固陋,希涉大庭,狂言多不称。…」此处之「庭」字,可以和〈60杂论〉的「咸聚阙庭」对比。
22 《汉书?武帝本纪》征和三年:「…三月,遣贰师将军 (李) 广利将七万人出五原,…广利败,降匈奴。」战败的责任应该归在武帝,因为他凭一己的喜好选将,凭一时的冲动出兵,又在大军已出之后,因巫蛊案收李广利之妻子。数万兵士的性命,就这样被武帝送掉了,而他并没有自我检讨,据《汉书?西域传》:「…朕之不明,以军候弘上书言匈奴缚马前后足,置城下,…公交车方士、太史治星望气,及太卜龟蓍,皆以为吉。匈奴必破,时不可再得也。…卦诸将,贰师最吉。故朕亲发贰师。…乃者贰师败,军士死略离散,悲痛常在朕心。…」。在这篇轮台之诏中,武帝把责任推给卜卦,而看不出一点悔祸之心。在这种情形下,人民自然厌战。
23 荀悦是汉献帝时的秘书监侍中,应该可以看到很多原始文献。
24「异乎吾所闻」典出《论语?子张》:「子夏之门人问交于子张。…子张曰:『异乎吾所闻。…』」。在《论语》的原义是:子张闻自孔子的话与子夏门人所说的不同。桓宽用此典故来表示,朱生(朱子伯)告诉他的话(内幕消息)和外间所传不同。至于「异哉吾所闻」则非典故,用现代话讲就成了:「(朱子伯)告诉我的事好希奇哦!」。显然前一说为长。
25 《汉书?眭两夏侯京翼李传》:「…胜从父子建字长卿,自师事胜及欧阳高,左右采获,又从五经诸儒问与尚书相出入者,牵引以次章句,具文饰说。胜非之曰:『建所谓章句小儒,破碎大道。』建亦非胜为学疏略,难以应敌,建卒自颛门名经,为议郎博士…」。《汉书?艺文志》:「…后世经传既已乖离,博学者又不思多闻阙疑之义,而务碎义逃难,便辞巧说,破坏形体;说五字之文,至于二三万言…」。
26 《汉书?眭两夏侯京翼李传》载:「…眭弘,字孟,…从嬴公受《春秋》,以明经为议郎,至符节令。孝昭元凤三年正月,泰山…有大石自立、…又上林苑中,大柳树断枯卧地,亦自立生。…孟推《春秋》之意,…有从匹夫为天子者。…汉帝宜谁差天下,求索贤人,襢以帝位,…奏赐、孟妄设祅言惑众,大逆不道,皆伏诛。」
27 从桓宽的文字里,当然无法确切判断是否只有一位贤良发言,可能是八位贤良内有一位意见领袖,汇总其它贤良的见见之后,所作的统一发言。
28 Lillian Li, “Introduction: Food, Famine, and the Chinese State,” Journal of Asian Studies 41(4):687-707; Lillian Li, “Life and Death in a Chinese Famine: Infanticide as a Demographic Consequence of the 1935 Yellow River Flood,” Comparative Studies in Society and History 33(3):466-510; Lillian Li, “Integration and Disintegration in North China’s Grain Market, 1738-1911,” Journal of Economic History 60(3):665-99; Lillian Li and Alison Dray-Novey, “Guarding Beijing’s Food Security in the Qing Dynasty: State, Market, and Police,” Journal of Asian Studies 58(4):992-1032.
29 再举两项他们的新近研究成果:Wolfgang Keller and Carol Shiue, “Market Integration and Economic Development: A Long-run Comparison,” Review of Development Economics 11(1):107-23; Wolfgang Keller and Carol Shiue, “The Origin of Spatial Interaction,” Journal of Econometrics 140(1):304-32.
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