60 可参考:Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations, book II, chapter 1 (1776)。Zvi Bodie, Robert C. Merton and William F. Samuelson, ‘Labor Supply Flexibility and Portfolio Choice in a Life Cycle Model’, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (1992). Roger G. Ibbotson , Kevin X. Zhu, Peng Chen an Moshe A. Milevsky, Lifetime Financial Advice: Human Capital, Asset Allocation and Insurance, CFA Institute Research Foundation (2007).
七○%的数据来自于:Tiffany Julian, Work-Life Earings by Field of Degree and Occupation for People With a Bachelor’s Degree: 2011, American Community Survey Briefs, US Census Bureau (October 2012)。研究结果显示,高中学历平均预期终身所得为一百四十万美元,拥有学士学位的为二百四十万美元,拥有专业学位的为四百二十万美元,拥有博士学位的为三百五十万美元。
61 四%的提领率是所有理财专员建议的标准,部分要归功于威廉.班根(William P. Bengen)发表的划时代文章:‘Determining Withdrawal Rates Using Historical Data,’ Journal of Financial Planning (October 1994)。他的假设是,退休的人在第一年退休时,会提领四%的积蓄。之后几年,他们必须依据通货膨胀设定提领比例,这笔钱可能要缴税,领取的股息和利息也应计入当年可提领的整体收入金额。
62 Chenkai Wu, Michelle C. Odden, Gwenith G. Fisher, and Robert S. Stawski, ‘Association of Retirement Age with Mortality: A Population-Based Longitudinal Study Among Older Adults in the USA’, Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health (21 March 2016).
63 美国的数据来自于:United States Life Tables 2014, National Vital Statistics Report, vol. 66, no. 4 (14 August 2017)。英国的数据来自于国家统计局(Office for National Statistics),相关信息可从网站上下载。
64 关于「时间分散风险」的概念有大量的文献,若要了解关于这问题争论的摘要,可参考:Donald G. Bennyhoff, Time Diversification and Horizon-Based Asset Allocation, Vanguard Investment Counseling & Research (2008).