1.··Gary A. Klein, Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2017), 58.
2.··这是丹尼尔．康纳曼在《快思慢想》一书中提出的核心论述，参见：Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow (New York: Macmillan, 2011)。
3.··Gary Klein, “Performing a Project Premortem,” Harvard Business Review 85, no. 9 (2007): 18–19.
4.··D. Kahneman and D. Lovallo, “Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking,” Management Science 39, no. 1 (1993): 17–31.
5.··Chris Bradley, Martin Hirt, and Sven Smit, Strategy Beyond the Hockey Stick: People, Probabilities, and Big Moves to Beat the Odds (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2018), 6.
6.··Edward W. Merrow, Kenneth Phillips, and Christopher W. Myers, Understanding Cost Growth and Performance Shortfalls in Pioneer Process Plants (Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation, 1981), 88.
